Federal Committee on Statistical Methodology
2018 Research and Policy Conference

Web-scraping & Similar Tools to Capture Information for BLS Uses | (PDF)

SABLE: Tools for Web Crawling, Web Scraping, and Text Classification | (PDF)

Evaluating the Use of Web-Scraped List Frames to Assess Undercoverage in Surveys | (PDF)

Seizing Opportunities and Preserving Principles | (PDF)

Museum Frame Development – A Universe is Comprised of Many Worlds | (PDF)

Speeders and Sloths: The Effects of Respondent Timing on Web Survey Data Quality | (PDF)

Response Burden and Bias in the First National Food Acquisition and Purchase Survey (FoodAPS-1): An Empirical Analysis Based on Respondent Feedback Survey | (PDF)

Changes in Interview Length over a Data Collection Period: Interviewer Learning or Shifting Respondent Characteristics? | (PDF)

Smart Math Saves Time and Improves Communication | (PDF)

Evaluating Wealth Data in the Redesigned 2014 Survey of Income and Program Participation | (PDF)

Discussant: Howard Iams (Social Security Administration)
A-3_Discussant.pdf | (PDF)

Benchmark Assessment of Respondent Driven Sampling Data for Foreign-Born Korean Americans | (PDF)

Comparing Alternatives for Estimation from Nonprobability Samples | (PDF)

Combining Probability and Nonprobability Samples to Form Efficient Hybrid Estimates | (PDF)

Discussant: Courtney Kennedy (Pew Research Center)
A-4KennedyDISCUSSION WEDSession A-4_1000- 1145am.pdf | (PDF)

Session Chair Introduction | (PDF)

Overview of Transparent Quality Reporting | (PDF) (

Quality of Input Data | (PDF)

Quality of Data Processing | (PDF)

Quality of Output Statistical Products and Services | (PDF)

An Automated Refusal Conversion Strategy for Web Surveys | (PDF)

Using Close-Ended Web Probes to Inform the Redesign of the National Health

The Roles of Typicality, Specificity, and Set Size in Providing Examples for Survey Questions: Evidence from an Online Study Using Self-Administered Comprehension Probes

Benefits and Drawbacks of Using Crowdsourcing Techniques for Cognitive Testing

Impact of Dependent Interviewing on Consistency of Answers in the American Housing Survey | (PDF)

Innovative Approaches to Generating National and Regional Estimates of Crime and Arrest with Incomplete Data | (PDF)

Evaluating Hot Deck with Propensity Matching for the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MARTS) | (PDF)

Assessing the Automated Imputation of Missing and Erroneous Survey Data: A Simulation-Based Approach | (PDF)

Edit Reduction Research in the U.S. Census Bureau’s Economic Directorate | (PDF)

Household Incomes in Tax Data: Using Addresses to Move from Tax Unit to Household Income Distributions | (PDF)

Calculating a Supplemental Poverty Measure in the Survey of Income and Program Participation

Sampling Design and Variance Estimation for the National Survey of WIC Participants, Wave 3 | (PDF)

Implications of Repeated Sampling in a Crime Survey | (PDF)

Assessing How Well Students in Economics Experiments Model Decision-Making for Non- Student Populations | (PDF)

Using Social Media for a Probability Sample: Is It Possible? | (PDF)

Comparing Random and Nonrandom Samples Using Model-Implied Randomization | (PDF) Vladislav Beresovsky (National Center for Health Statistics)

Effect of Contact Strategy on Response Mode Selection | (PDF)

Adaptive Designs - Tailoring of Contact Materials to Increase Survey Participation | (PDF)

If We Boost It, Will They Come?: Evaluating Efforts to Promote Web Completion in a Multi-Mode National Establishment Survey | (PDF)

Reducing Collection Effort While Maintaining Data Quality in Business Surveys Comparing Random and Nonrandom Samples Using Model-Implied Randomization

Coding Verbatim Responses Using an Auto-coding Program Based on a Two-step Matching Process: National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey Emergency Department Data, 2015

Comparison of Machine Learning Algorithms to Build a Predictive Model for Classification of Survey Write-in Responses | (PDF)

Using Machine Learning Techniques to Interpret Open-ended Responses in Web Surveys | (PDF)

Moving to the Median: The Case for Changing the Range of Expenditures Underlying SPM Thresholds | (PDF)

Controlling for Prices before Estimating SPM Thresholds and the Impact on SPM Poverty Statistics

Enhancing the Supplemental Poverty Measure to Estimate the Impact of Health Insurance Benefits on Poverty | (PDF)

Supplemental Poverty Measure: A Comparison of Geographic Adjustments with Regional Price Parities vs. Median Rents from the American Community Survey: An Update

Web-scraping & Benchmarking Options for Model-Based CountyLevel Estimation of Agricultural Cash Rental Rates | (PDF)

Small Area Estimation in the Annual Survey of Public Employment and Payroll (U.S. Census Bureau) | (PDF)

County-Level Estimates of Mortality and Natality Indicators from the National Vital Statistics Systema

Bayesian State-level Estimates of Diabetes Prevalence in the United States, 2006-2015 (PDF)

Measuring Systematic Income Misreporting Heterogeneity Using a Novel Dataset | (PDF)

Respondents' Reporting Accuracy of Social Security Benefits and its Implications in the Health and Retirement Study

Using Administrative Records to Evaluate Absolute and Relative Reporting Accuracy in Surveys | (PDF)

Understanding Differences in the Disability Prevalence Across Federal Surveys: Why the 2014 Survey of Income and Program Participation Stands Out

Small Domain Estimation Using Probability and Non-Probability Survey Data | (PDF)

On Increasing the Number of County-Level Crop Estimates | (PDF)

Small Area Estimation for Measures Related to Tobacco Use and Policies Using the Tobacco Use Supplement to the Current Population Survey | (PDF)

Small Area Co-Modeling of Point Estimates and Their Variances for Domains in the Current Employment Statistics Survey

Yulei He (National Center for Health Statistics) | (PDF)

Organizer and Session Chair: | (PDF)

Lessons from Nonresponse Bias Studies Involving Federal Surveys | (PDF)

Nonresponse Bias Indicators and Adjustments Employed in Federal Surveys | (PDF)

Alternative Indicators of the Risk for Nonresponse Bias | (PDF)

Discussant: Roger Tourangeau (Westat)

Examining the Utility of Educational Administrative Records for Research and Improving Survey Operations: A Pilot Project at the U.S. Census Bureau | (PDF)

Leveraging Access to and Use of Department of Defense (DoD) Data: A Case Study of Unraveling Military Attrition Tohrough New Approaches to DoD Data Integration | (PDF)

Measuring Innovation in New Ways using Non-Traditional Data Sources | (PDF)

Interdisciplinary Insights for Investigating the Intersection of Race/Color and Social Outcomes among Diverse Hispanics Communities: Implications for Statistical Measurements and Analysis | (PDF)

The Role of Opioid Misuse in Child Welfare Caseloads | (PDF)

Research Examinations within the Federal Statistical System for Improving Federal Race/Ethnicity Data | (PDF)

Update on Race and Ethnicity Question Proposals for the 2020 Census | (PDF)

Potential Improvements for 2020 Census Race and Ethnicity Conversion and Bridging | (PDF)

Discussant: Lauren Musu-Gillette (National Center for Education Statistics) | (PDF)

Towards Developing Synthetic Datasets for the Economic Census | (PDF)

Formal Privacy and Synthetic Data for the American Community Survey | (PDF)

An Integrated Approach to Providing Access to Confidential Data | (PDF)

Challenges and Experiences Adapting Differentially Private Mechanisms to the 2020 Census | (PDF)

Evidence-based Standards and Guidelines for Mobile Survey Instrument Design | (PDF)

Usability Testing Methodology for the 2017 Economic Census Web Instrument | (PDF)

Defining Bullying: A Split-Ballot Experiment Across Three Federal Agencies | (PDF)

Health Insurance in the American Community Survey: Multiple Types of Coverage and Respondent Write-ins | (PDF)

Improving the Anchoring Vignette Methodology with Visual Vignettes | (PDF)

Comparing Response Rates Across Surveys

Stemming the Rising Tide of Nonresponse | (PDF)

Cleaning Out the Gutter: Identifying and Eliminating Deadwood from a Sampling Frame Using Trees | (PDF)

Pursuing Consent for Record Linkage in an Establishment Survey: Results from a National Survey | (PDF)

Assessing Consent Bias in Linkage Studies | (PDF)

Challenges to Informed Consent from Administrative Data Linkage and Secondary Usage | (PDF)

Incorporating the Finite Population Correction into the Variance Estimation of a National Business Survey | (PDF)

Finding an Estimator that Minimizes Revisions in a Monthly Indicator Survey | (PDF)

Effect of Nearest Neighbor Imputation on Variances Calculated by Fay’s Balanced Repeated Replication | (PDF)

Investigation of the NCHS Data Presentation Standards for Proportions: A Simulation Study | (PDF) F

An Alternative Way of Estimating a Proportional- Odds Model with Complex Survey Data | (PDF)

Session Chair: Andrew Zukerberg (National Center for Education Statistics) E-5 Federal Statistics, Multiple Data Sources,

Cognitive Interviewing Methodology in 2018: Current Trends and Recent Challenges | (PDF)

Results of a Cognitive Interview Evaluation of the Revised Race Question, with Special Emphasis on the Newly Proposed Middle Eastern/North African Response Option | (PDF)

Training Cognitive Testing Interviewers in Different Settings and Languages a href="pdf/F_1Schoua_Glusberg.pdf" target="_blank"> | (PDF)

Survey Translation and the Place of Expert Review in the Question Evaluation Tool Kit: Development of Best Practices | (PDF)

Recently Resettled Refugees and their Experience with the Annual Survey of Refugees – Findings from Cognitive and In-Depth Interviews | (PDF)

Conducting Experiments in Establishment Surveys: Obstacles and Opportunities | (PDF)

Obstacles in Planning Establishment Survey Experiments - Census of Agriculture Content Test and Agricultural Resource Management Survey

Using Email to Solicit Response in an Establishment Survey | (PDF)

Experimenting with Alternative Question Designs for “Other, Specify” Product Information in Establishment Surveys | (PDF)

Researching the Psychology Workforce using Federal Statistics | (PDF)

Examining the Principles of Open Government

Cost Effective Mail Survey Design | (PDF)

Integration of Multiple Data Sources to Inform a Responsive Design | (PDF)

Optimal Sample Size Allocation to Mixed Modes: A Case Study Using the Residential Energy Consumption Survey | (PDF)

Design Issues for a Longitudinal Employer Health Insurance Survey to Facilitate Analysis of Policy Changes | (PDF)

PLENARY SESSION II

Improving the Measurement of Sexual Victimization Among Children through a Redesign of the National Survey of Children's Exposure to Violence | (PDF)

Key Issues When Collecting and Publishing General Population Estimates of Rape and Sexual Assault | (PDF)

Collecting Data on Rape and Sexual Assault in an Institutional Setting | (PDF)

Assessing Respondents’ Perceptions of Burden in the American Community Survey | (PDF)

Estimating Reporting Burden for Statistical Surveys

Exploring Sampling Techniques to Reduce Respondent Burden | (PDF)

Response Likelihood to an Establishment Survey with a Simple Questionnaire Following an Establishment Survey with a Complex Questionnaire | (PDF)

FDA's Approach to R Shiny Standardized, Interactive Tools

R: Innovating at the Bureau of Labor Statistics | (PDF)

The Effect of the Conservation Reserve Program on Rural Economies: Deriving a Statistical Verdict from a

State-Level Design-Based Estimates for National Surveys | (PDF)

Multivariate Small Area Estimation Under Informative Sampling and Nonresponse | (PDF)

Semiparametric Panel Data Models Using Neural Networks | (PDF)

Testing Significance Tests: A Simulation with Cliff’s Delta, t-tests, and Mann-Whitney U | (PDF)

Sampling with Administrative Records in the National Survey of Children's Health

The Use of Administrative Records and the American Community Survey to Study the Characteristics of Undercounted Young Children in the 2010 Census | (PDF)

Logistic Regression with Linked Data | (PDF)

A Method for Assigning Weight to Variable Matching in Record Linkage | (PDF)

Application of Jaro-Winkler String Comparator in Enhancing Veterans Administrative Records | (PDF)

An Overview of the Improved 2017 Economic Census | (PDF)

Executing a Multi–Year Multi–Method Electronic Data Collection Re–engineering: Experiences from 2017 Economic Census Development | (PDF)

2017 Economic Census Contact Strategy: Using Data to Make Decisions

From Research to Implementation of Product Estimation in the 2017 Economic Census: Hard, Harder, and Hardest

Discussant: I-1Safir2018 FCSMEconomicSurveyDiscussionSafir(004).pdf | (PDF)

Record Linkage of Bureau of Justice (BJS) Federal Criminal Case Processing Data | (PDF)

Record Linkage Application in DHS USCIS Person Centric System | (PDF) Damian Kostiuk (U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services)

Evaluation of Data Matching in Immigration Enforcement Outcome Tool | (PDF)

Mapping Geographic and Temporal Variations in Select Mortality and Natality Outcomes with R-INLA in Small Areas | (PDF)

Crossing Boundaries: A Case Study on Building Accessible Tools to Combine Public-Use Data

Evaluation of Two Different Interviewing Protocols to Test a Mobile Mapping Instrument for the June Area Survey | (PDF)

The Time Use Data-based Measures of the Wellbeing Effect of Community Development: An Evaluative Approach. | (PDF)

Sidestepping the Box: Designing a Supplemental Poverty Indicator for School Neighborhoods | (PDF)

Correlates of Nonresponse in the 2012 and 2014 Medical Expenditure Panel Survey | (PDF)

Subnational Geography and the Overseas U.S. Citizens Population | (PDF)

Investigation into Responses for the Occupational Requirements Survey | (PDF)

Understanding Their Apprehension: A Look into the Federal Employee Viewpoint Survey | (PDF)

Discussant: | (PDF) John S. Dixon (Bureau Labor of Statistics)

Creating State Specific Occupational Replacement Rates | (PDF)

Employment Transitions in Washington State – An Examination of Job Flows Among Persons Employed in Growing and Declining Industries, 2014-2015 | (PDF)

Discussant: Michael Wolf (Bureau of Labor Statistics) | (PDF)

Measuring Trends in the Distribution of Annual Earnings | (PDF)

What Does Consumer Heterogeneity Mean for Measuring Changes in the Cost of Living?a href="pdf/J1_Martin_2018FCSM.pdf" target="_blank">

Discussant: | (PDF) George Sheldon (U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs

An Assessment of Crime Forecasting Models | (PDF)

Jointly Predicting U.S. Recessions and Restaurant Downturns: Integrated Models using the

Clarifying the Confidence Levels of PPI and CPI Forecasts in the USDA’s Food Price Outlook | (PDF)

Ensuring Optimal Response Rates on Agency Data Collections Over Time | (PDF)

Reasons for Late Response and Nonresponse in Surveys of Government Agencies | (PDF)

Shifting Data Quality Follow-Up Methods for a Time-Series Collection of Local and State Agencies | (PDF)

Collecting Electronic Health Record Data for the National Ambulatory Medical Care Survey and the National Hospital Care Survey | (PDF)

National Health Interview Survey 2019 Content Redesign – Analytic Implications a href="pdf/J_4LessemNHISredesign.pdf" target="_blank">

J4_Messel_2018FCSM.pdf | (PDF)

Balancing Cross-sectional and Longitudinal Design Objectives for the Survey of Doctorate Recipients | (PDF)