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Technical Note
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Technical Note
Gross Domestic Product
Second Quarter of 2005 (Preliminary)
August 31, 2005
This technical note provides background information about the source data and
estimating methods used to produce the estimates presented in the GDP news release.
The complete set of estimates for the second quarter is available on BEA's Web site
at www.bea.gov; a brief summary of "highlights" is also posted on the Web site. In a
few weeks, the estimates will be published in BEA's monthly journal, the Survey of
Current Business, along with a more detailed analysis of the estimates ("The Business
Situation").
Sources of Revision to Real GDP
Real GDP growth in the second quarter was revised from 3.4 percent to 3.3 percent.
. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, were revised up,
reflecting newly available Census Bureau data on goods for June.
. Personal consumption expenditures were revised down, reflecting newly
available data on electricity and gas usage from the Energy Information
Administration.
. Inventory investment was revised up, reflecting newly available Census inventory
data for June and revised data for May.
Revisions to Wages and Salaries and Related Series
In addition to presenting preliminary estimates for the second quarter, today's news
release also presents revised first-quarter estimates of wages and salaries, personal
taxes, and contributions for government social insurance that are based on preliminary
data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics quarterly census of employment and wages.
Wage and salary disbursements are now estimated to have increased $67.0 billion in
the first quarter, a downward revision of $16.9 billion. Real disposable personal income
is now estimated to have decreased 3.4 percent in the first quarter and to have
increased 2.0 percent in the second. (By comparison, the estimates that were available
last month showed a decrease of 2.9 percent in the first quarter and an increase of 1.4
percent in the second.)
Corporate Profits
Profits from current production increased $79.2 billion, or 6.1 percent in the second
quarter, compared with $68.7 billion, or 5.6 percent, in the first.
Brent R. Moulton
Associate Director for National Economic Accounts
Bureau of Economic Analysis
(202) 606-9606
Table A.--SOURCE DATA FOR THE ADVANCE AND PRELIMINARY
ESTIMATES OF GDP FOR THE SECOND QUARTER OF 2005
This table shows the actual data used for the preliminary estimate of GDP for the second quarter of
2005. For these key series, actual data for June were not available in time for inclusion in the
advance GDP estimate released on July 29, 2005, and BEA made assumptions for these source
data. The numbers in brackets show the June values that had been assumed for the advance
estimate. For most series, the data incorporated for May and, in some cases, for April, were
preliminary, and the numbers shown in brackets are the values used last month.
All series shown in the table are in billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted at annual rates, and are
published by the Bureau of the Census.
2005
Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Jun.
Private fixed investment:
Nonresidential structures:
1 Value of new nonresidential
construction put in place..... 243.3 242.1 244.3 246.1 240.9 241.4
{245.8} {241.9} {243.9}
Equipment and software:
2 Manufacturers' shipments of
complete aircraft............. 27.2 19.2 24.6 39.8 25.5 27.7
{25.5} {26.7}
Residential structures:
Value of new residential
construction put in place:
3 Single family................... 396.2 402.1 404.5 404.8 407.0 407.7
{404.7} {406.9} {409.6}
4 Multifamily..................... 44.5 44.5 43.5 44.4 44.7 45.2
{44.1} {43.7} {44.0}
Change in private inventories:
5 Change in inventories for nondurable 31.0 8.8 13.6 3.8 -11.6 13.5
manufacturing................... {-8.6} {3.5}
5a Change in inventories for merchant
wholesale and retail industries other
than motor vehicles and equipment... 58.8 48.4 40.9 28.8 34.3 39.1
{24.6} {36.3}
Net exports:
Exports of goods:
6 U.S. exports of goods,
international-transactions-
accounts basis................. 859.1 848.6 858.4 894.7 893.7 893.5
{894.0} {884.9}
6a Excluding gold.................... 853.3 844.4 851.9 889.3 888.2 887.9
{888.6} {879.4}
Imports of goods:
7 U.S. imports of goods,
international-transactions-
accounts basis................. 1611.5 1625.5 1565.1 1642.4 1623.1 1662.0
{1623.1} {1635.8}
7a Excluding gold................... 1607.9 1621.6 1561.0 1638.5 1618.9 1657.9
{1618.9} {1631.6}
8 Net exports of goods................. -752.4 -776.9 -706.7 -747.8 -729.4 -768.5
{-729.1} {-750.9}
8a Excluding gold................... -754.6 -777.2 -709.1 -749.3 -730.7 -770.0
{-730.4} {-752.2}
Government:
State and local:
Structures:
9 Value of new construction put
in place..................... 212.9 222.6 224.9 226.4 234.3 232.3
{226.6} {230.4} {228.5}
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