Government Receipts and Expenditures

Fourth Quarter of 2022

Net government saving, the difference between current receipts and current expenditures in the federal government and state and local governments, was −$1,326.5 billion in the fourth quarter of 2022, decreasing $230.8 billion from −$1,095.7 billion in the third quarter of 2022 (charts 1 and 2 and table 1).

“Net lending or net borrowing (−)” is an alternative measure of the government fiscal position. Net borrowing is the financing requirement of the government sector, and it is derived as net government saving plus the consumption of fixed capital and net capital transfers received less gross investment and net purchases of nonproduced assets.

Net borrowing was $1,438.5 billion in the fourth quarter, increasing $248.1 billion from $1,190.4 billion in the third quarter (charts 3 and 4 and table 1).

Net federal government saving was −$1,185.7 billion in the fourth quarter, decreasing $170.0 billion from −$1,015.7 billion in the third quarter (table 2). In the fourth quarter, current receipts decreased less, and current expenditures accelerated relative to the third quarter.

Federal government net borrowing was $1,296.8 billion in the fourth quarter, increasing $169.9 billion from $1,126.9 billion in the third quarter.

  • Personal current taxes (line 3) decelerated in the fourth quarter, increasing $8.4 billion after increasing $43.1 billion in the third quarter, reflecting a deceleration in withheld taxes. The deceleration in withheld taxes reflects the pattern of wages. Nonwithheld taxes turned down in the fourth quarter, decreasing $9.6 billion after increasing $4.1 billion in the third quarter.
  • Taxes on production and imports (line 4) decreased more in the fourth quarter. Customs duties decreased $11.6 billion after decreasing $6.9 billion in the third quarter, primarily reflecting the continued decrease in the volume of imports. This was slightly offset by an acceleration in excise taxes, which increased $1.2 billion after increasing $0.3 billion in the third quarter, reflecting an upturn in taxes on alcoholic beverages.
  • Contributions for government social insurance (line 7) decelerated in the fourth quarter, increasing $25.0 billion after increasing $40.9 billion in the third quarter, reflecting the pattern of wages.
  • Income receipts on assets (line 8) decreased less in the fourth quarter, reflecting a smaller decrease in dividends from Federal Reserve banks. Federal Reserve dividends have decreased in recent quarters as the regional banks have become less profitable. As interest rates have risen, the interest expenses of the Federal Reserve banks have grown and now exceed the income they earn on their asset holdings. When the Federal Reserve experiences losses, it creates a deferred asset, which is effectively an IOU to itself. The Federal Reserve banks will apply future earnings against these deferred assets and will not resume paying dividends to the U.S. Treasury until the deferred amounts are fully settled.
  • Current transfer receipts (line 9) turned up in the fourth quarter, reflecting upturns in current transfer receipts from business and current transfer receipts from the rest of the world. The upturn in current transfer receipts from business reflects a $1.7 billion ($6.8 billion at an annual rate) settlement with Wells Fargo for consumer loan abuses and a $0.3 billion ($1.3 billion at an annual rate) settlement with U.S. affiliates of Glencore for bribery and market manipulation. The upturn in current transfer receipts from the rest of the world reflects an increase in fines paid by foreign businesses; in the fourth quarter, fines were paid by Danske Bank, Lafarge and Glencore.
  • Current surplus of government enterprises (line 10) turned up in the fourth quarter, increasing $5.1 billion after decreasing $0.4 billion in the third quarter, reflecting an upturn in the current surplus of the U.S. Postal Service. The upturn largely reflects a rate increase.
  • Consumption expenditures (line 12) decelerated, increasing $27.7 billion in the fourth quarter after increasing $29.9 billion in the third quarter, reflecting a deceleration in national defense consumption expenditures that was partially offset by an acceleration in nondefense consumption expenditures. The deceleration in national defense consumption expenditures reflects decelerations in spending for defense services and compensation of general government employees. The acceleration in nondefense consumption expenditures reflects a larger decrease in sales to other sectors, specifically a decrease in Strategic Petroleum Reserve sales.
  • Government social benefits to persons (line 17) turned up in the fourth quarter, increasing $42.7 billion after decreasing $6.4 billion in the third quarter. The upturn in the fourth quarter reflects an upturn in Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) benefits, which were boosted $3.7 billion ($14.9 billion at an annual rate) as a result of a cost-of-living adjustment in October. Medicare benefits accelerated and transfers to nonprofits from the Public Health and Social Services Emergency Fund decreased less.
  • Grants-in-aid to state and local governments (line 20) decreased less in the fourth quarter, reflecting upturns in education grants and public order and safety grants. Health grants decelerated in the fourth quarter.
  • Other current transfer payments to the rest of the world (line 21) turned down. Third-quarter transfer payments were boosted by an increase in U.S. Agency for International Development grants to provide support to Ukraine for global health programs and for migration and refugee assistance.
  • Interest payments (line 22) accelerated in the fourth quarter, reflecting an acceleration in interest paid to persons and business. The acceleration reflects an increase in interest paid on treasury bills and notes in the fourth quarter and an increase in interest paid on Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities.
  • Subsidies (line 23) decreased less in the fourth quarter, decreasing $3.0 billion after decreasing $9.1 billion in the third quarter, reflecting a smaller decrease in the Public Health and Social Services Emergency Fund.
  • Capital transfer payments (line 33) decreased less in the fourth quarter. Capital transfers to state and local governments decreased less, reflecting a smaller decrease in capital grants for the Coronavirus State and Local Fiscal Recovery Funds authorized by the American Rescue Plan Act to help state and local governments support their response to and recovery from the COVID–19 public health emergency. In addition, capital transfer payments to business accelerated, reflecting debt forgiveness for farmers authorized by the Inflation Reduction Act. A downturn in disaster-related insurance benefits was partially offsetting; third-quarter insurance benefits were boosted $10.0 billion ($40.0 billion at an annual rate) by insurance settlements related to Hurricane Ian from the National Flood Insurance Program.
  • Net purchases of nonproduced assets (line 34) turned up in the fourth quarter. Third-quarter net purchases reflected receipts from a Federal Communications Commission spectrum auction of rights to broadcast at certain frequencies.

Net state and local government saving was −$140.8 billion in the fourth quarter, decreasing $60.8 billion from −$80.0 billion in the third quarter. In the fourth quarter, current receipts turned up and current expenditures accelerated relative to the third quarter (table 3).

In the fourth quarter, net borrowing was $141.7 billion, increasing $78.2 billion from $63.5 billion in the third quarter.

  • Personal current taxes (line 3) turned down in the fourth quarter, reflecting a downturn in personal income taxes.
  • Taxes on production and imports (line 4) decelerated in the fourth quarter, reflecting a downturn in state sales taxes.
  • Taxes on corporate income (line 5) turned up in the fourth quarter, increasing $16.4 billion after decreasing $9.1 billion in the third quarter.
  • Federal grants-in-aid (line 9) decreased less in the fourth quarter, reflecting upturns in education grants and public order and safety grants. Health grants decelerated in the fourth quarter.
  • Other current transfer receipts (line 10) turned up in the fourth quarter, increasing $25.8 billion after decreasing $9.3 billion, reflecting an upturn in current transfer receipts from the rest of the world. Fourth-quarter receipts reflected two settlements totaling $6.7 billion ($26.8 billion at an annual rate) by Teva Pharmaceuticals and Allergan with multiple state governments to resolve opioid-related claims. Current transfer receipts from business decreased less in the fourth quarter; third-quarter receipts were boosted by a $0.5 billion ($1.98 billion at an annual rate) fine paid to the New York state government by U.S. affiliates of Credit Suisse to settle a case related to mortgage-linked investments in the United States.
  • Current surplus of government enterprises (line 11) decreased more in the fourth quarter, reflecting a larger decrease in federal subsidies to mass transit enterprises.
  • Consumption expenditures (line 13) accelerated in the fourth quarter, reflecting an increase in spending for intermediate goods and services, specifically nondurable goods.
  • Government social benefits (line 14) accelerated in the fourth quarter, increasing $63.0 billion after increasing $20.2 billion in the third quarter, largely reflecting an increase in state stimulus payments to individuals. More information can be found in the FAQ “How are state refundable tax credits recorded in the National Income and Product Accounts (NIPAs)?”. In addition, Medicaid benefits turned up.
  • Capital transfer receipts (line 22) decreased less in the fourth quarter, decreasing $20.4 billion after decreasing $388.2 billion in the third quarter, reflecting a smaller decrease in capital grants for the Coronavirus State and Local Fiscal Recovery Funds provided to help state and local governments support their response to and recovery from the COVID–19 pandemic. More information can be found in the FAQ “How was federal assistance to the states authorized by the American Rescue Plan recorded in the NIPAs?”. Fourth-quarter capital transfers also reflected settlements totaling $13.4 billion ($53.6 billion at an annual rate) between CVS, Walmart, and Walgreens and the states to assist states affected by the opioid epidemic. More information can be found in the FAQ “How do the 2022 national opioid settlements impact the NIPAs?”.